This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in July, 2026.
The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.
The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
≥85 mph
$1.4K Volume
99%
≥90 mph
$3.2K Volume
54%
≥95 mph
$6.7K Volume
26%
≥100 mph
$1.8K Volume
26%
≥105 mph
$917 Volume
17%
≥110 mph
$495 Volume
9%
≥115 mph
$1.1K Volume
7%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in July?
At 99%, ≥85 mph has pulled far clear of ≥90 mph (40%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in July?
Traders price ≥85 mph at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in July market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (23 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in July?
Traders have put $15.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in July on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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