USA · Weather

Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?

$3.7K Volume
01/09/2026 03:59
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≥85 mph
$472 Volume
99%
≥90 mph
$765 Volume
99%
≥95 mph
$812 Volume
99%
≥100 mph
$1.1K Volume
99%
≥105 mph
$442 Volume
99%
≥110 mph
$51 Volume
91%
≥115 mph
$106 Volume
16%

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.

The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.

The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?
At 99%, ≥100 mph has pulled far clear of ≥95 mph (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?
Traders price ≥100 mph at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August market resolve?
Mark 1 Sep 2026 (9 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?
$3.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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