This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Past
≤0.0%
$1.1K Volume
8%
0.1-0.3%
$1.1K Volume
8%
0.4-0.6%
$547 Volume
19%
0.7-0.9%
$3K Volume
35%
1.0-1.2%
$13.4K Volume
36%
1.3%+
$3.4K Volume
25%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
The current front-runner is 1.0-1.2% at 35%, ahead of 0.7-0.9% at 34%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Traders currently imply a 35% chance for 1.0-1.2%. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 30 Oct 2026 (67 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $92, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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