Norway vs. England

England enters the 2026 World Cup quarter-final as the slight favorite at 51.5% implied probability due to greater overall squad depth, experience in major tournaments, and recent knockout progression that included a comeback win over Mexico. Norway’s 22.5% chance rests primarily on Erling Haaland’s scoring threat after his decisive contributions in their Round of 16 victory over Brazil, though the team lacks comparable depth across the pitch. A 26% draw probability reflects both sides’ attacking quality and the potential for an open contest at the neutral Miami venue. Recent results show Norway achieving its first World Cup knockout win while England overcame an early deficit, underscoring momentum for both but highlighting England’s historical edge in similar high-stakes matchups.