This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Ethereum Up or Down on July 31?
Down dominates the field at 92%; the nearest challenger, Up, trades at just 9%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Ethereum Up or Down on July 31?
Traders price Down at a 92% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Ethereum Up or Down on July 31 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Ethereum Up or Down on July 31?
$53.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Ethereum Up or Down on July 31 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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