This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Jeffrey Epstein is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence.
If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Jeffrey Epstein was a member of that group will qualify.
Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
The market prices Yes at only 2%, with No at 98%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 2% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (160 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Total turnover stands at $39.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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