This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
The market prices Yes at only 6%, with No at 95%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 6% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (160 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Traders have put $171 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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