This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 4 12:00 PM ET to July 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
40-64
$9.2K Volume
44%
<40
$11.2K Volume
34%
65-89
$7K Volume
20%
90-114
$8.9K Volume
4%
115-139
$3.8K Volume
1%
140-164
$1K Volume
1%
165-189
$1.5K Volume
1%
190-214
$8.5K Volume
1%
215-239
$5.7K Volume
1%
240+
$5.4K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets July 4 - July 6, 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - 40-64 trades at 44%, <40 at 33%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets July 4 - July 6, 2026?
No strong consensus yet: 40-64 tops the implied probabilities at just 44%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets July 4 - July 6, 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 6 Jul 2026 (3 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets July 4 - July 6, 2026?
Traders have put $377.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets July 4 - July 6, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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