This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 2 12:00 PM ET to July 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
22
posts so far
· pace 22
<40
$114.1K Volume
98%
40-64
$114.7K Volume
2%
65-89
$114.8K Volume
1%
90-114
$68.8K Volume
1%
115-139
$37.5K Volume
1%
140-164
$17.6K Volume
1%
165-189
$15.5K Volume
1%
190-214
$13.1K Volume
1%
215-239
$15.9K Volume
1%
240+
$16.2K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?
<40 dominates the field at 98%; the nearest challenger, 40-64, trades at just 2%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?
Traders price <40 at a 98% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?
Total turnover stands at $376.5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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