This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJIA) on Wednesday, July 22, 2026 is higher than the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for DJIA on the most recent prior trading day.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJIA) on Wednesday, July 22, 2026 is lower than the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for DJIA on the most recent prior trading day.
E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
If DJIA does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Dow Jones Industrial Average for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".
US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Resolution Source: www.wsj.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 22?
Up leads the field at 84%, with Down next at 16%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 22?
The market makes Up the favorite at 84%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 22 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 22 Jul 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 22?
Traders have put $4.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 22 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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