This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 23 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 23 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23?
It's a genuine race: Down edges the field at 56%, barely ahead of Up at 45%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23?
Traders give Down a 56% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 23 Jul 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23?
$219.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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