This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dharmendra Pradhan’s departure as Education Minister is officially announced by the specified date at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No".
The departure will be considered to be announced when Dharmendra Pradhan, the Ministry of Education of India, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Dharmendra Pradhan has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Minister of Education. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer
of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date at 11:59PM ET.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dharmendra Pradhan and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
July 31
$4.5K Volume
21%
September 30
$1.1K Volume
52%
December 31
$280 Volume
65%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Dharmendra Pradhan out as Minister of Education of India by?
No runaway leader here - December 31 at 61% versus September 30 at 42%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Dharmendra Pradhan out as Minister of Education of India by?
At 61% implied for December 31, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Dharmendra Pradhan out as Minister of Education of India by market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (161 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Dharmendra Pradhan out as Minister of Education of India by?
$5.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Dharmendra Pradhan out as Minister of Education of India by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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