TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SC Freiburg (Resolved)

SC Freiburg enter this DFB-Pokal first-round matchup as clear favorites at the Merkur Spiel-Arena, reflecting their Bundesliga status and stronger recent form against a Fortuna Düsseldorf side relegated to the 3. Liga and mired in poor results. Freiburg have secured five wins in their last six outings, while Fortuna have managed just one victory in five and lost nine of their prior twelve competitive fixtures. The visitors also prevailed 3-1 in the corresponding fixture last October, underscoring a quality gap that supports the 63.5% implied probability for an away win. Fortuna’s home setting offers limited offset given ongoing squad instability and defensive vulnerabilities, keeping draw odds at 22.0% and a home victory at just 14.5%.