RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split

Raków Częstochowa hold a narrow edge in the UEFA Conference League play-off second leg at home after the sides played out a 2-2 draw in Split, where Hajduk finished with ten men following a red card. Raków equalized late through a stoppage-time goal after trailing at the break, extending their unbeaten European run while highlighting improved away resilience. Hajduk’s strong domestic attacking output and home form have not fully translated on the road, leaving them as underdogs in Poland despite recent scoring bursts. Traders appear to price in Raków’s home advantage, defensive organization, and momentum from the first-leg recovery as the key drivers behind the slight favorite status, with the draw and away win viewed as viable but less probable outcomes given the competitive head-to-head and recent fixture congestion.