Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv

Qarabağ hosts the second leg of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round at Baku's Tofiq Bahramov Stadium while trailing 1-0 on aggregate after Dynamo Kyiv's narrow first-leg win in neutral Lublin. The Azeri side's strong home European record, combined with control of possession in the opener, supports their slight edge in the match-winner market despite the deficit. Dynamo Kyiv's late red card to defender Cebrails Makreckis leaves them short-handed, while forward Matvii Ponomarenko pushes to start after scoring the opener. Low-scoring trends in Qarabağ's recent fixtures and Dynamo's mixed away European results further shape the close implied probabilities around a home win versus the draw.