Hibernian FC vs. FC Malisheva (Resolved)

Hibernian enters this UEFA Conference League second qualifying round tie as clear favorites on paper, yet the two legs—first away in Kosovo on July 23 before returning to Easter Road on July 30—create a narrow implied-probability spread between a Hibernian win, draw, or upset. The Scottish side has just completed pre-season preparations with a home win, while Malisheva arrives after advancing from their own first-round tie and sitting as Kosovo Superleague runners-up. Significant ranking gap and travel factor favor Hibernian, but limited head-to-head history, potential squad rotation in early European action, and the two-legged aggregate format introduce enough uncertainty to keep the three main outcomes tightly clustered around 48-50.5 percent.