Trump · AI

Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by…?

$13.4K Volume
31/12/2026 23:59
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December 31
$1.8K Volume
99%
September 30
$5.4K Volume
99%
June 30
$6.1K Volume
1%

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to non-American customers outside of the United States by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.

Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility in at least one country outside of the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to international customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.

If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by?
The front-runner right now is December 31 at 99%, ahead of September 30 at 99%. These implied odds update with every trade on Polymarket's order book.
What do traders predict for Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by?
The market gives December 31 a 99% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (184 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by?
Total traded volume on this market is $13.4K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
How can I trade Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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