As of market creation, Blackstone is estimated to release earnings on July 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Blackstone's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.33 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Blackstone reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.33 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Blackstone releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolution Source: seekingalpha.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?
The market prices Yes at only 21%, with No at 80%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 21% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings market resolve?
The market runs until 23 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?
Total turnover stands at $202. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
