As of market creation, Alphabet is estimated to release earnings on July 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Alphabet's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.89 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.89 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Alphabet releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Past
Resolution Source: seekingalpha.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes is trading at 96%, leaving No at just 4% - traders treat this one as close to settled, though prices keep updating until resolution.
What do traders predict for Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
With 96% implied for Yes, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings market resolve?
The market runs until 22 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
Traders have put $3.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
