Up or Down · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

$187.8K Volume
23/08/2026 12:00
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".
The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams.
Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

Resolution Source: data.chain.link

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET?
Up dominates the field at 89%; the nearest challenger, Down, trades at just 12%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET?
Traders price Up at a 89% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 23 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET?
$187.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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