Crypto · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?

View on Polymarket

$154.8K Volume

31/07/2026 16:00

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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?

No runaway leader here - Down at 51% versus Up at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?

At 51% implied for Down, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31 market resolve?

The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?

Traders have put $154.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31 on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.