Crypto · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12?

View on Polymarket

$191.9K Volume

12/07/2026 16:00

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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 12 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 12 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12?

No runaway leader here - Up at 60% versus Down at 41%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12?

Traders give Up a 60% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12 market resolve?

The market runs until 12 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12?

Traders have put $191.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12 on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.