Crypto · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?

View on Polymarket

$198.9K Volume

11/07/2026 16:00

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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 11 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 11 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?

No runaway leader here - Down at 55% versus Up at 46%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?

At 55% implied for Down, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11 market resolve?

Mark 11 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?

Traders have put $198.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11 on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.