This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 10 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 10 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?
No runaway leader here - Up at 65% versus Down at 36%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?
Traders give Up a 65% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 10 Jul 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?
Total turnover stands at $213K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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