Crypto · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?

View on Polymarket

$237.3K Volume

07/08/2026 16:00

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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 7 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 7 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?

Up dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, Down, trades at just 1%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?

Traders price Up at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7 market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 7 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?

$237.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7 on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.