Crypto · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?

View on Polymarket

$276.7K Volume

02/08/2026 16:00

View on Polymarket

View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 2 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 2 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?

No runaway leader here - Up at 50% versus Down at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?

At 50% implied for Up, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2 market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 2 Aug 2026 (2 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?

Total turnover stands at $276.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2 on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.