Crypto · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?

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$430.2K Volume

14/08/2026 16:00

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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 14 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 14 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?

Down dominates the field at 89%; the nearest challenger, Up, trades at just 11%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?

With 89% implied for Down, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14 market resolve?

Mark 14 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?

Total turnover stands at $430.2K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14 on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.