Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 1, 2026”. The named songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$8.8K Volume
99%
Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo
$1.4K Volume
1%
Janice STFU - Drake
$1.3K Volume
1%
Be Her - Ella Langley
$930 Volume
1%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
$897 Volume
1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
$810 Volume
1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
$920 Volume
1%
The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo
$922 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 1?
At 99%, Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley has pulled far clear of Song A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 1?
Traders price Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 1 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 28 Jul 2026 (3 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 1?
Total turnover stands at $12.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 1 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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