As of market creation, BGC Group is estimated to release earnings on November 5, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for BGC Group’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.34 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if BGC Group reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.34 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If BGC Group releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolution Source: seekingalpha.com
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes is priced at 53% and No at 48%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?
Traders currently imply a 53% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 5 Nov 2026 (2 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?
Total traded volume on this market is $3.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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