Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Volume $82.4K
Liquidity $96.5K
Ends 30/04/2026 00:00
traffic Hormoz Geopolitics U.S. x Iran tanker
Yes Probability
7%
No Probability
93%
Trading Volume
$82.4K
Time Remaining
8 days left
0-10
$34.3K Volume
37%
10-20
$13K Volume
24%
20-30
$12.5K Volume
9%
30-40
$10.3K Volume
2%
50-60
$12.3K Volume
2%
60+
$44.6K Volume
5%
40-50
$8.9K Volume
3%

About This Market

This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (โ€œArrivals of Shipsโ€) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for April 30, 2026.

Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.

This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to April 30, 2026, for which data is available.

This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for April 30, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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