This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Nicolas Mejia in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 3:30PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Nicolas Mejia.
This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Adam Walton.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia
ATP
Nicolas Mejia6⁵0
Adam Walton76Final
Game context
Adam Walton enters the Cincinnati Open first-round matchup against Nicolas Mejia as the clear favorite on hard courts, reflecting his higher ranking near the top 100 and stronger recent results on the ATP Tour, including wins over players like Nick Kyrgios. Mejia, ranked around 122 after a career high, arrives with momentum from successful qualifying wins, including against Henrique Rocha, but faces a significant step up against Walton's experience in Masters 1000 events. With no prior head-to-head history, the contest hinges on serving consistency and baseline play typical of hard-court tennis, where Walton's established form provides the primary edge in trader pricing.
Moneyline
$113.3K Vol.Match Completed
1st Set Winner
$970 Vol.Set Total
$23 Vol.Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 8.5
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 9.5
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
$5 Vol.1st Set Total
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.5
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.5
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$534 Vol.Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 21.5
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 22.5
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 23.5
Set Handicap
$36 Vol.Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia Set Handicap +/-1.5
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia Set Handicap +/-1.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 Winner, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia market resolve?
Mark 21 Aug 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia?
$12.5M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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