This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Marin Cilic in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 6:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Marin Cilic.
This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Sho Shimabukuro.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic
ATP
Marin Cilic76
Sho Shimabukuro6²1Final
Game context
Sho Shimabukuro enters the National Bank Open matchup after a first-round win over Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and a strong run to the Stuttgart quarterfinals earlier in 2026, where he pushed Ben Shelton before falling. Ranked near 94 with a career-high of 89, the Japanese left-hander brings recent momentum on hard courts. Marin Cilic, a veteran with over 600 career wins, arrives off a Wimbledon first-round exit to Daniil Medvedev and mixed results on grass at 's-Hertogenbosch, where he defeated Denis Shapovalov before losing to Medvedev. Cilic holds a 13-13 record for the year and has shown flashes of his powerful serve and baseline game but faces questions about consistency at age 37. The contest pits Shimabukuro's rising form against Cilic's experience in what shapes up as a competitive early-round encounter.
Moneyline
$80.6K Vol.Match Completed
1st Set Total
$34 Vol.National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 8.5
National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 9.5
National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Total
$47 Vol.National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 8.5
National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 9.5
National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Total Sets: O/U 2.5
National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
$15 Vol.Total Games
$93 Vol.National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 21.5
National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 22.5
National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 23.5
Set Handicap
$43 Vol.National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set Handicap +/-1.5
National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set Handicap +/-1.5
1st Set Winner
$976 Vol. Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 8.5, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic?
With 99% implied for Completed Match, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic market resolve?
Mark 9 Aug 2026 (6 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic?
Total turnover stands at $9M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
