This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Pablo Carreno Busta.
This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Andrey Rublev.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta
ATP
Pablo Carreno Busta6⁵1
Andrey Rublev76Final
Game context
Andrey Rublev enters as the No. 13 seed ranked around No. 16-18 with a 26-14 season record, while Pablo Carreno Busta sits near No. 70 after a first-round win over Tomas Machac. Rublev holds a dominant 4-0 or 5-0 head-to-head edge, including hard-court success, though he arrives on a two-match skid following a 12-day layoff. Carreno Busta, returning from prior arm issues and showing improved form with a 9-11 record, benefits from recent match play on outdoor hard courts. Serving efficiency and experience in ATP 1000 events favor the higher-ranked Russian, yet Carreno Busta’s straight-sets opener highlights potential for competitive sets if Rublev’s consistency wavers.
Moneyline
$518K Vol.Match Completed
Set Winner
$17 Vol.1st Set Winner
$1.4K Vol.Total Games
$1.1K Vol.Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.5
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.5
Set Total
$98 Vol.Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Total
$6 Vol.Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 9.5
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Handicap
$1.4K Vol. Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 23 Aug 2026 (7 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta?
$11.3M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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