This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Mejia and Juan Pablo Varillas in the Bogota, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 1:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Juan Pablo Varillas.
This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Nicolas Mejia.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas
ATP
Juan Pablo Varillas470
Nicolas Mejia651LIVE · S3
Game context
Nicolás Mejía enters the Bogota Challenger semifinal against Juan Pablo Varillas with clear momentum on home clay, where the Colombian has secured straight-set victories in earlier rounds and benefits from local crowd support. Mejía, currently ranked No. 165, holds a superior ranking and recent head-to-head edge over the Peruvian, who sits at No. 308 after grinding through his own round-of-16 win. Both players favor clay, yet Varillas’s lower ranking and limited recent success against top-200 opposition position him as the underdog despite his experience. The match resolves on outdoor clay, with any late injury updates or fatigue from the short turnaround likely to influence trader consensus on implied probabilities.
Moneyline
$208.8K Vol.Match Completed
Set Total
$215 Vol.Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 8.5
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 9.5
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
$126 Vol.Total Games
$1.4K Vol.Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 21.5
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 22.5
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 23.5
Set Handicap
$566 Vol.Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set Handicap +/-1.5
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set Handicap +/-1.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas?
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 8.5 dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 9.5, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas?
Traders price Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 8.5 at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas market resolve?
The market runs until 18 Jul 2026 (7 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas?
Total turnover stands at $6.1M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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