This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Pablo Carreno Busta.
This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Tomas Machac.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta
ATP
Pablo Carreno Busta66
Tomas Machac32Final
Game context
Tomas Machac and Pablo Carreno Busta meet for the first time in a Cincinnati Open first-round match on hard courts, with their rankings sitting close at approximately 58-62 and 68-72. Machac enters with a 14-10 record and one title in 2026 after a career-high ranking of No. 20 in 2025, while Carreno Busta has posted strong results including a French Open fourth-round run and a Wimbledon main-draw win, reflecting a solid 27-16 season overall. The evenly matched implied probabilities reflect Machac’s youth and baseline consistency against Carreno Busta’s experience and recent momentum on faster surfaces. No confirmed injuries or withdrawals have altered the draw, leaving surface adaptation and early-tournament form as the primary variables for traders.
Moneyline
$1.2M Vol.Match Completed
Set Total
$119 Vol.Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Winner
$2.9K Vol.1st Set Total
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 9.5
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
Set Handicap
$7 Vol.Total Games
$3.6K Vol.Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.5
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta market resolve?
The market runs until 20 Aug 2026 (6 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta?
Traders have put $13.5M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
