This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Glinka and Harold Mayot in the Kingston, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Daniil Glinka' if Daniil Glinka advances against Harold Mayot.
This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Daniil Glinka.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot
ATP
Harold Mayot34
Daniil Glinka66Final
Game context
Daniil Glinka holds the higher ATP ranking at No. 160 and enters the Kingston 1 Challenger quarterfinal with stronger recent hard-court form, including a straight-sets win earlier in the event and a 25-23 record for 2026. Harold Mayot, ranked No. 252 after a career-high of 103, has shown flashes of ability but inconsistent results this season and limited prior success against higher-ranked opponents. The hard-court surface favors Glinka’s baseline game and serve, while both players have dropped sets en route to the quarterfinals. No prior head-to-head exists, making current form and ranking the primary drivers of trader consensus on implied probabilities. Late scratches or fatigue from the short turnaround could still influence the outcome in this best-of-three match.
Moneyline
$53K Vol.Match Completed
1st Set Total
$5 Vol.Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot Set 1 O/U 8.5
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot Set 1 O/U 9.5
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Total
$14 Vol.Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot Set 2 O/U 8.5
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot Set 2 O/U 9.5
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot Set 2 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$12 Vol.Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 21.5
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 23.5
Set Winner
1st Set Winner
$567 Vol.Set Handicap
$30 Vol.Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot Set Handicap +/-1.5
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot Set Handicap +/-1.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot?
At 99%, Completed Match has pulled far clear of Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot Set 1 O/U 8.5 (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot?
With 99% implied for Completed Match, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot market resolve?
The market runs until 27 Aug 2026 (7 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot?
Total turnover stands at $10.7M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
Jannik Sinner34%YesNo
Carlos Alcaraz27%YesNo
Aryna Sabalenka24%YesNo
Iga Swiatek14%YesNo
Taylor Fritz32%YesNo
Arthur Fils23%YesNo
