This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Denis Shapovalov in the Los Cabos Open, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Denis Shapovalov.
This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Arthur Gea.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov
ATP
Denis Shapovalov
0-0
–
vs
02/08 03:00
–
Arthur Gea
0-0
Game context
Arthur Gea, the 21-year-old Frenchman ranked No. 127, has surged into his first ATP final after consecutive upsets over Soonwoo Kwon, Michael Zheng, and Francisco Cerundolo on the outdoor hard courts at the Mifel Tennis Open. Denis Shapovalov, the No. 68-ranked defending champion and former top-10 player with a 9-14 record in 2026, advanced by defeating Dalibor Svrčina and Cameron Norrie. Shapovalov’s prior success at the event, greater experience in high-stakes matches, and overall pedigree shape trader consensus around his implied probability edge, while Gea’s recent form and aggressive baseline game create realistic upset potential in the title decider.
Moneyline
$26.6K Vol.Match Completed
Set Winner
Total Games
$61 Vol.Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 21.5
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 22.5
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 23.5
1st Set Winner
1st Set Total
$22 Vol.Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.5
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 9.5
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Total
$326 Vol.Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 8.5
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 9.5
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 10.5
Set Handicap
$406 Vol. Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov?
The money is on Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 74%; Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 21.5 follows at 56%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov?
The market makes Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.5 the favorite at 74%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 9 Aug 2026 (8 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov?
Traders have put $10.6M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
Jannik Sinner54%YesNo
Carlos Alcaraz22%YesNo
Aryna Sabalenka29%YesNo
Elena Rybakina9%YesNo
