This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Sebastian Ofner in the Canadian Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 12:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Sebastian Ofner.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Ofner' if Sebastian Ofner advances against Jacob Fearnley.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner
ATP
Sebastian Ofner6³2
Jacob Fearnley76Final
Game context
Both players arrive at the Canadian Open qualification round with nearly identical ATP rankings around 110-124 and underwhelming 2026 win-loss records of 3-7 and 3-8 respectively. Jacob Fearnley, the younger British player whose career high reached No. 49, demonstrated resilience by rallying from two sets down at Wimbledon, while Sebastian Ofner, the more experienced Austrian with a career best of No. 37, looks to stabilize after inconsistent results. On outdoor hard courts, the matchup lacks prior head-to-head history, leaving surface-specific recent form, physical freshness after grass-court swings, and qualification pressure as the primary variables that could shift the implied probabilities reflected in trader consensus.
Moneyline
$125K Vol.Match Completed
Set Total
Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner Set 2 O/U 8.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner Set 2 O/U 9.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Total
$33 Vol.Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner Set 1 O/U 8.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner Set 1 O/U 9.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner Set 1 O/U 10.5
1st Set Winner
$1.5K Vol.Total Games
$81 Vol.Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner Match O/U 21.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner Match O/U 22.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner Match O/U 23.5
Set Handicap
$436 Vol.Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner Set Handicap +/-1.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner Set Handicap +/-1.5
Set Winner
$17 Vol. Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner?
At 99%, Completed Match has pulled far clear of Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner Set 1 O/U 8.5 (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner?
With 99% implied for Completed Match, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner market resolve?
Mark 8 Aug 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner?
$10.8M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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