This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Donski and Takuya Kumasaka in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Alexander Donski' if Alexander Donski advances against Takuya Kumasaka.
This market will resolve to 'Takuya Kumasaka' if Takuya Kumasaka advances against Alexander Donski.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka
ATP
Takuya Kumasaka54
Alexander Donski76Final
Game context
Alexander Donski and Takuya Kumasaka, both ranked in the mid-500s, meet in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger round of 32 on hard courts. Donski carries recent momentum after a straight-sets win in the event and holds a slight edge in implied probability based on trader consensus. Kumasaka, a right-hander with a career-high near 449, has shown mixed 2026 results across lower-tier events. With no prior head-to-head and similar overall records, the matchup hinges on current form, serve effectiveness, and adaptation to the surface and conditions. Late fitness updates or draw adjustments could still shift probabilities before the match begins.
Moneyline
$177K Vol.Match Completed
1st Set Winner
$639 Vol.Set Winner
Set Total
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka Set 2 O/U 8.5
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka Set 2 O/U 9.5
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka Set 2 O/U 10.5
Total Games
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka Match O/U 21.5
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka Match O/U 22.5
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka Match O/U 23.5
1st Set Total
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka Set 1 O/U 8.5
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka Set 1 O/U 9.5
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Handicap
$9 Vol.Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka Set Handicap +/-1.5
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka Set Handicap +/-1.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka Set 1 Winner, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka market resolve?
Mark 11 Aug 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka?
$11.6M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
