This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Choinski and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' if Jan Choinski advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili.
This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Jan Choinski.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP
Nikoloz Basilashvili66
Jan Choinski46LIVE · TB2
Game context
Jan Choinski and Nikoloz Basilashvili meet in the first round of the ATP Swedish Open on outdoor red clay in Båstad. Choinski enters with recent momentum from a grass-court quarterfinal run at Eastbourne, where he showed improved form and consistency on faster surfaces before shifting to clay. Basilashvili, ranked just outside the top 100, holds a higher career ceiling but arrives with a modest 3-6 record in 2026 and limited success in recent ATP events. Both players compete near the 110 ranking mark, making the matchup closely contested on a surface that rewards baseline endurance and clay-specific movement. Surface transition from grass and individual recent results will likely shape early-set dynamics.
Moneyline
$156.5K Vol.Match Completed
Set Total
$544 Vol.Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.5
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 9.5
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$228 Vol.Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.5
Set Winner
$241 Vol.Set Handicap
$63 Vol. Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5 dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5, trades at just 75%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Traders price Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5 at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili market resolve?
Mark 20 Jul 2026 (6 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Traders have put $13.3M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
