This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Republican
$5.4K Volume
94%
Democrat
$1.5K Volume
4%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Arkansas Governor Election Winner?
Republican dominates the field at 94%; the nearest challenger, Democrat, trades at just 2%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Arkansas Governor Election Winner?
Traders price Republican at a 94% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Arkansas Governor Election Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 3 Nov 2026 (104 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Arkansas Governor Election Winner?
$6.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Arkansas Governor Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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