San Martin de Tucuman vs. CA Guemes

San Martín (Tucumán) enters the Primera Nacional clash at Estadio La Ciudadela with stronger recent form and a higher mid-table standing (35 points from 26 matches) compared to Güemes, who sit near the relegation zone with 22 points. The home side secured a 2-1 away win in its last outing while Güemes collected draws in three of its prior four fixtures amid defensive struggles and limited scoring output. Historical head-to-head results favor San Martín, including a 2-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season. These factors underpin trader consensus around a home win at 63%, with the away side's 10.5% implied probability reflecting ongoing struggles and the draw priced at 23% due to both teams' tendency toward low-scoring encounters.