This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Yes is priced at 5% and No at 95%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Traders currently imply a 5% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Another US debt downgrade before 2027 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (47 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Total traded volume on this market is $14.3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Another US debt downgrade before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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