Iran · US-Iran

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?

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$20.2K Volume

31/10/2026 23:59

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Past

Jun 30 Apr 30

Oct 31

August 31

$19.2K Volume

September 30

$145 Volume

28%

October 31

$881 Volume

25%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.

An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Another Iranian diplomat expelled by?

The current front-runner is September 30 at 20%, ahead of October 31 at 18%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Another Iranian diplomat expelled by?

Traders currently imply a 20% chance for September 30. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Another Iranian diplomat expelled by market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Oct 2026 (68 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Another Iranian diplomat expelled by?

Total traded volume on this market is $20.2K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Another Iranian diplomat expelled by on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.