This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
November 30
$800 Volume
47%
Resolved 3
August 31
$28.3K Volume
No
October 31
$10.6K Volume
No
September 30
$13.6K Volume
No
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by?
Yes is priced at 36% and No at 65%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by?
Traders currently imply a 36% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Dec 2026 (28 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by?
Total traded volume on this market is $629, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
October 3192%YesNo
November 286%YesNo
March 3163%YesNo
December 3141%YesNo
November 199%YesNo
November 299%YesNo
December 3136%YesNo
November 3025%YesNo
June 30, 202728%YesNo
December 3113%YesNo
