As of market creation, Apple is estimated to release earnings on July 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Apple's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.89 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.89 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Apple releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolution Source: seekingalpha.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes is trading at 92%, leaving No at just 9% - traders treat this one as close to settled, though prices keep updating until resolution.
What do traders predict for Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?
With 92% implied for Yes, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings market resolve?
The market runs until 30 Jul 2026 (9 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?
$15 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
