This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jul 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 21 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jul 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 21 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for XRP Up or Down on July 21?
At 99%, Up has pulled far clear of Down (1%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for XRP Up or Down on July 21?
Traders price Up at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the XRP Up or Down on July 21 market resolve?
The market runs until 21 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on XRP Up or Down on July 21?
Total turnover stands at $11.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade XRP Up or Down on July 21 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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