This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jul 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 17 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jul 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 17 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for XRP Up or Down on July 17?
Down dominates the field at 97%; the nearest challenger, Up, trades at just 4%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for XRP Up or Down on July 17?
Traders price Down at a 97% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the XRP Up or Down on July 17 market resolve?
Mark 17 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on XRP Up or Down on July 17?
Traders have put $3.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade XRP Up or Down on July 17 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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