This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., loses the third-place match/playoff). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in fourth place. If multiple teams are officially awarded fourth place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for fourth place), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 4th place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Argentina$459 Volume
38%
France$1.8K Volume
36%
England$1.4K Volume
31%
Resolved 1
Spain
$1.4K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for World Cup: 4th Place Finish?
No runaway leader here - Country A at 50% versus Country B at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for World Cup: 4th Place Finish?
At 50% implied for Country A, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the World Cup: 4th Place Finish market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 19 Jul 2026 (5 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on World Cup: 4th Place Finish?
Total turnover stands at $5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade World Cup: 4th Place Finish on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
Lionel Messi40%YesNo
Jude Bellingham29%YesNo
Europe (UEFA)81%YesNo
South America (CONMEBOL)20%YesNo
9+43%YesNo
10+10%YesNo
ESP vs ENG53%YesNo
ESP vs ARG47%YesNo
Unai Simón76%YesNo
Jordan Pickford13%YesNo
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia)58%YesNo
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama)23%YesNo
