This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve officially releases Deadlock by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, "officially released" is defined as Deadlock being made publicly available to all players without requiring an invite, key, or any other form of restricted access on at least one platform. A transition to open Early Access on Steam qualifies as an official release, provided it is accessible to the general public without restrictions. An invite-only playtest, closed beta, or limited technical test does not qualify, regardless of player count or media coverage.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Deadlock.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and the Deadlock Steam page (https://store.steampowered.com/app/1422450/Deadlock/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?
This one is tight: Yes at 60%, No at 40%. When a market trades this close, small news moves the price fast.
What do traders predict for Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?
Traders give Yes a 60% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027 market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2027 (131 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?
$9.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
