Politics · Israel

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

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$533.3K Volume

01/01/2027 04:59

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December 31, 2026

$92.1K Volume

Resolved 2

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31

$250.3K Volume

June 30, 2026

$190.9K Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Israel annex any territory by?

Yes is priced at 8% and No at 93%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Will Israel annex any territory by?

Traders currently imply a 8% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Will Israel annex any territory by market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Will Israel annex any territory by?

Total traded volume on this market is $533.3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Will Israel annex any territory by on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.